Trending Artists / Topics
Sabrina Carpenter just dropped her "House Tour" video on April 6. Polymarket bettors can't decide if it'll hit 12-13 million views first week. Odds at 48% yes, $5k+ volume. Close call ahead.
BTS "Arirang" has 97% odds to top Billboard 200 week of April 18. Another smash incoming.
Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" nearly locked at 99.4% for US Spotify #1 this week (April 10). Country heat rolls on.
Bruno Mars leads Spotify April monthly listeners bets at 95.5%, huge volume behind it. Gaga collab fuels the fire.
Hannah Harper sits favorite for American Idol S24 win, 53% odds. Her raw originals are winning votes.
Kanye UK visit by June 30? Just 5.5% yes. Tweet by April 30 more likely at 75.5%. Eurovision bets build volume, early days though.
Winners (Highest Probability)
| Market | Predicted Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Ella Langley - Choosin' Texas | #1 on US Spotify week April 10 | 99.4% |
| Finland Eurovision | avoids last place | 99.6% |
| BTS Like Animals global Spotify | misses #1 worldwide | 99.9% |
| Sabrina arrest Young Thug Coachella | no arrest stunt | 96.4% |
| Bruno Mars Spotify | most monthly listeners April | 95.5% |
| Weeknd Spotify | #2 monthly listeners March | 95.5% |
| BTS Arirang BB200 | #1 Billboard 200 April 18 week | 97.1% |
| Kanye UK | no visit by June 30 | 94.5% |
| Katy Perry-Trudeau | no breakup before August | 91.5% |
| Kanye Israel | no visit by June 30 | 87.5% |