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Polymarket's ending-soon music markets buzz with Met Gala action. The big night hits May 4. Shakira clocks 99.8% odds to perform at Todo Mundo no Rio. Festival runs April or May in Brazil. Huge stage for her.
Her collab with Bizarrap slaps:
Lady Gaga leads Met attendance bets at 63.5% yes. Taylor Swift draws 74% no. Blake Lively 78.5% skips. Bad Bunny eyes Vogue best-dressed at 58%. Fashion meets music.
Monaco captures Bad Bunny's style:
Eurovision first semi May 12. Finland advances at 99.5%. Switzerland second semi close, 51.5% no. Pooh Shiesty 72% charged by May 31. Bieber's Baby 68% misses Spotify global #1 this week. Lana Del Rey 79% no album drop by June.
Gaga's Applause fits Met vibes:
Winners (Highest Probability)
| Market | Predicted Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Shakira Todo Mundo | performs live at 2026 festival | 99.8% |
| Finland Eurovision semi 1 | advances through first semi-final | 99.5% |
| Austria Eurovision winner | misses the top spot | 99.8% |
| Zendaya pregnant | no confirmation by June 30 | 94.0% |
| Kanye country block | avoids new entry ban | 88.5% |
| Taylor Swift Met Gala | skips the May 4 event | 74.0% |
| Pooh Shiesty charged | faces indictment by May 31 | 72.0% |
| Blake Lively Met Gala | does not attend | 78.5% |