Trending Artists / Topics
Fresh Polymarket music bets scream Met Gala hype. Rihanna pulls 74% odds to crash the May 4 party. She's overdue. That Work track with Drake? Timeless banger.
Taylor Swift? Bettors say 63.5% no dice. Blake Lively 57.5% yes though. Stars align funny.
Drake Iceman screams #1 Billboard 200 debut at 89.5%. Sales? 90.6% skip 500-550k. Smart money.
Olivia Rodrigo drops you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love. 90.3% outside 200-250k first week. Boom or bust.
Bad idea right captures it perfect.
Bad Bunny chokes top Spotify April listeners, 99.8% no. Oof.
MONACO still slaps.
Harry Styles, Zoe Kravitz: 73% no ring by August. Celeb life.
As It Was owns.
Hannah Harper 51% American Idol S24 champ. Her originals hit hard.
Winners (Highest Probability)
| Market | Predicted Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Bad Bunny Spotify April #1 | misses top monthly listeners | 99.8% |
| Weeknd Spotify March #2 | misses second place listeners | 96.9% |
| Kanye West UK by June 30 | no UK visit | 94.5% |
| Olivia sad girl album sales | not 200k-250k first week | 90.3% |
| Drake Iceman 500k sales | skips 500-550k bracket | 90.6% |
| Drake Iceman BB200 | #1 debut week | 89.5% |
| Rihanna Met Gala | shows up May 4 | 74.0% |
| Harry/Zoe engagement | no by end of August | 73.0% |